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Buckingham Road, Prestwich, Manchester M25 9NE. U.K.
0161 773 2327 (International
+44 (0) 161 7732327
e-mail alanseddon@tiscali.co.uk. or Tony Peach tpwheel@tesco.net
MOSS PUBLICATIONS/BROWZERS BOOKS
Write to Browzers 2,
Buckingham Road, Prestwich, Manchester M25 9NE. U.K.
0161 773 2327 (International
+44 (0) 161 7732327
e-mail alanseddon@tiscali.co.uk. or Tony Peach tpwheel@tesco.net
FAX
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(International +44 (0) 161 7732327
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BROWZERS BOOKS & MOSS PUBLICATIONS
2, Buckingham Rd – Prestwich – Manchester M25 9NE
0161-773-2327 Email: alanseddon@tiscali.co.uk
Tony Peach tpwheel@tesco.net
Racing Titbits
MARCH 2008
Highlight of this month’s and possibly the full N.H. Season is the Cheltenham Gold Cup, for there seems a good chance that we will see a "Flying Star", and Phil Nicholls’s entry for the occasion might even win "hands down".
Kauto Star has already won the event and his last success at Newbury received tremendous applause for despite his prohibitive price racegoers as a whole, love a horse that’s got class and this one has certainly has it.
But here is the crunch – its price for the big race is going to be very short, so short that only a gambler could profit from backing it. So perhaps the best bet for the everyday betting shop punter is to try and sort out an entry that is a decent each-way bet.
Let’s face it, at least having a bet in the race that way must incline the backer to watch the race, come the day. In fact it could be a two-way winner, for if you win then its been a good bet and if you lose and Kauto stars, then you still have to marvel at his success.
A DELVER INTO THE 4-DAY SYSTEM
I HAVE received a letter from a well-known Handicap Book reader of the past called Ron Wilson, who has been delving into the N.H. 4-Day System for several years and I reprint part of the letter received which to me sounds good advice to any systemite and append it below:
It has been a long time since I last wrote to you, so I thought that you being more than just an interested party, might like a copy of my updated stats for the late Philip Alexander’s Four Day Flat System according to Wilson.
The original system was to back all Geldings that were last time out winners at a Group One course running again within Four Days at a Group One court.
My amendments exclude those horses running again at the same course, horses running their second race in a small field, less than ten runners, 2 and 3 Year olds and last time out winners at Doncaster and Newcastle. The reasons are outlined later in this letter.
In the 13 June 2007 issue of the ‘Update’, Graham Wheldon published, in the Forum, my letter updating the Jumps and Flat results for both Four Day Systems.
Some Weeks later, a response from Dave. H, was printed in the Forum, that accused me and one other of ‘Back Fitting’ results to increase profits. I wrote a second letter to Graham which he decided not to publish in the Forum.In that letter I put it to Dave~H that he had not understood what he had read and that he should read my article again and if he still didn’t understand what was written then he should read it again and again until he did.
In that article I stated that at the end of the 2002 FIat season, I had researched the results for the three seasons that followed the publication of Philip Alexander’s Four Day method in the Update of the 18 March 2000 along with the Runners, Winners and profit made for the 1999 Flat season.
The system produced two winning seasons from the three, a combined total of 10 winners from 38 runners and a profit offl £15.55 to a £5 win level stake. What I did, and what Davey H. calls Back fitting’, was to investigate the 28 losers, in an effort to identify anything that they might have in common, and in that event, to remove them from the system and thereby increase the strike rate and profit without, hopefully, not throwing too many babies out with the bath water,
Racing Titbits Page 2 (4 DAY FLAT SYSTEM)
Research showed that a high proportion of those losers fell into five categories;
7 losers from 8 runners were in small fields (Winner was a 6-5 (Fav)
9 losers from 10 runners running again at the same course (Winner was a 2-l (Fav)
3 losers from 3 runners won their first race at Newcastle
3 losers from 3 runners won their first race at Doncaster
3 losers from 3 runners were 2 or 3 years old
Three remaining losers showed up in profitable areas
I continued working the full system throughout the 2003 season but kept a close eye on those areas showing above and what a season that turned out to be.
The full System produced five winners from 10 runners and a profit off £135.75 to a £5 win level stake. The amended system produced three winners from just four runners and a profit £150.00 to the same level stake.
After the 2003 season I decided to discontinue following the full system and to back only those runners indicated by the amended system.
Philip Alexander stated, on more than one occasion, that too much faith should not be placed on just one season’s results, and just how right that comment turned out to be, is clearly shown when you look at the sample results published for a very profitable 1999 season.
The profit for that season was reduced by £64.35, when using the amended system but the total profit for the last nine seasons was increased by £102.20.
The 2005 season was the first to losing one for the amended system and was closely followed by a loss for the 2006 season. The average number of runners doubled in 2005, which coincided with the closure of Ascot due to the building of the new stand.
Ascot features strongly in the results over the nine seasons. Three LTO winners at Sandown went on to win at Ascot and of the four LTO winners at Ascot, three went on to win at Goodwood.
The two LTO winners at Sandown in 2005 both lost their next race, the first Sandown winners to do to, but that was not to be the only 100% strike rate to go that season. Clear favourites had a 100% strike rate up until 2005 when Attorney decided not oblige when made 3-1 favourite at Goodwood, also, all three runners that ran their second race at Goodwood also lost.
++++++++++++
Ron of course, sent me full details of all his up-to-date stats which I leave out for obvious reasons. But anyone whishing to get in touch with Ron should drop me an e-mail and I will contact Ron to see if he is interested.
++++++++++++++
And following Ron’s excellent piece of work a reminder that I along with Jim Streek, Philip Alexander and Bryan Cottam wrote the "Time Lapse & 4,5,6 & Days System and any one applying for a copy this month only can get it for £5.
Bookies Losing?
The Levy board has reduced its prizemoney contribution from £55\million this year to £49.5m in 2008, the result of the continued bookmakers reduction in the profits they have made on racing.
The Levy peaked at £102m in 2003-04.
Edited by Tony Peach
STILL POST FREE U.K.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). THE GOLDEN YEARS OF VAN DER WHEIL. Tribute to VDW 1978-1982. 1993 [6001]
66pp. Booklet. £12.00 Post free (UK)
A collection of the legendary "Flying Dutchman's" letters which chronicles his method of finding winners.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). THE ULTIMATE WHEIL OF FORTUNE. 1995 [5991]
38pp. Booklet. £8.00 Post free (UK)
The six remaining articles VDW wrote for the Handicap Book and Raceform Update from 1981 to 1986.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). RACING IN MY SYTEM. 1995 [5999]
42pp. Booklet. £8.00 Post free (UK)
Tony Peach talks to and about, Che Van Der Wheil, who also pens another article for the author. Tony Peach writes several chapters on past systems he highlighted in Sports Forum.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). BETTING THE VDW WAY Published from out of print volumes. 1995 [6004]
30pp. Booklet. £8.00 Post free (UK)
VDW articles reprinted from out of print books Winning Ways To Bet, Make Racing Pay Vol.2 and Systematic Betting.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). SYSTEMS IN MY RACING. 1999 [5985]
38pp. Booklet. £15.00 Post free (UK)
The Final chapter in the VDW story.
ALL FIVE VDW BOOKS FOR £35.00 Post free (UK)
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE VDW METHOD
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). METHODS & MECHANICS OF CHE VAN DER WHEIL’S FORM BOOK. 2007 [33047]
72pp booklet. £17.00 (£15.00 limited special July).
With Assessment of The Golden Years plus The Numerical Picture.. What An Expert Had To Say & The Readers Writes & Wrongs. Sporting Chronicle H’Cap Book 1978-1983 & Raceform H’Cap Book 1985-1995.
SAD KEN. (Edited by Tony Peach). THE INFLUENCE OF VDW & THE RACING POST’S CAREER BEST SPEED FIGURES. 2003. [14771]
44pp. New. £12.00
Foreword by Tony Peach.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). TIPS FOR BACKERS OF SLOW HORSES. 2006. [31108]
S/B. 28pp. New. £10.00
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). VAN DER WHEIL & THE SILVER LINING 2001 [12506]
100pp booklet. £35.00
Readers show how the VDW method helped them "make racing pay" over 25 years. Letters, evaluations and excerpts from the VDW library
CLOSE, PHILIP. CLOSE ENCOUNTERS OF THE VDW KIND. Edited by Tony Peach. 1998 [5997]
30pp. Booklet. £10.00
At last a book by an author who admits he is writing for those who, like him, relish a bet on a Saturday. Using the VDW method he presents a number of helpful hints, all aimed at bashing the bookie at weekend.
COLDRICK, ALAN. PROS & CONS OF VDW’S WINNING METHODS. 1999 [5988]
26pp Booklet £10.00
Alan looks at the VDW methods form all angles.
VAN DER WHEIL, C. SYSTEMATIC BETTING. The Logical approach to racing winnings. 2001. [14771]
Reprint. 30pp. New. £10.00
Foreword by Tony Peach.
JOCK BINGHAM
Post Extra
BINGHAM, JOCK. BE A WINNERS. Back Methodology not Kidology. [5989]
31pp. S/B £8.00
Short contribution by Van der Wheil.
BINGHAM, JOCK. FOUR WAYS TO WIN Jock Bingham figures out VDW’s racing methodology. 1997 [6000]
24pp. Booklet £8.00
Jock Bingham gives more evaluations plus significant conclusions.
BINGHAM, JOCK. THE KEY 1998 [1044]
25 pp booklet. Fine. £12.50
ALL THREE JOCK BINGHAM BOOKS FOR £25.00
POST FREE (UK)
ALEXANDER, PHILIP. METHODICAL STAKING. [5396]
56pp. Booklet. £10.00
7 chapter on picking the right approach.
COLDRICK, ALAN. SYSTEMS & LETTERS X-RAYED BY ALAN GREGORY '73 & '74. [24849]
20pp Booklet. Pub. 2004. £10.00
COLDRICK, ALAN. WIN WITH STAKING STRATEGY. [15242]
36pp Booklet. Pub. 2001. £10.00
HAWKINS, ROY. THE GAMBLER AND SENSIBLE BETTING. Edited by Tony Peach. [5998]
46pp Booklet. £6.00
West country betting guru Roy Hawkins, writes about dice, dogs and horses in his battle to change losing days to winning ways! He also writes about his friendship with David and Martin Pipe also shows how to make a "shrewd each-way bet" and how to work out a "standard, strong or maximum bet".
HEALY, B.J. PROFIT FROM WEIGHTS RIGHT. Edited by Tony Peach. [6008]
54pp Booklet. £7.50
HOW TO RATE AND HANDICAP HORSES. Brian Healy who utilises expertise gained in Australia an U.K. to explain how to rate and handicap horses using weight as a guide. A much sought-after book that gets right down to the nitty gritty of handicapping. There is also an excellent section analyzing both Flat and Jumping Racetracks in the U.K.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). 2004 [24850]
34pp booklet. £15.00 (Post free (UK))
Aknowlegments - Mrs Ruth Alexander, Jim Streek, Tim Drakeford, Bryan Cottam, Alan Coldrick, Ron Wilson.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). SYSTEMETHOD. 2002 [16505]
32pp. S/B. £15.00
Tony Peach has written HIS book - for the first time - about a system that incorporates a method, and has found winners in races of a certain value on the Flat and NH.
STREEK, JIM. THE WINNING STREAKS. 2004. [23328]
18pp. S/B. .£7.50
STREEK, JIM. MORE WINNING STREAKS. 2007. [33011]
18pp. S/B. .£7.50
SYSTEMFORM. (Edited by Tony Peach). TIPPING THE SCALES ON HORSES RACING & BETTING. Vol.1.2003 [21780]
S/B. New. 36pp. £5.00 (Post Free (UK).
A collection of sensible ways of beating the bookmaker. This book is the first in the new Grey Matter Series.
SYSTEMFORM. (Edited by Tony Peach). TIPPING THE SCALES ON HORSES RACING & BETTING. Vol.2. 2004 [24851]
S/B. New. 20pp. £5.00 (Post Free (UK).
A further collection of sensible ways of beating the bookmaker.
TONY PEACH. THE SCIENCE OF SYSTEMS
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). PLANNING A BETTER BET. The Science of Systems-Volume 2. 2000 [6002]
30pp Booklet. £7.50
Various ways of searching out and improving systematic betting.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). SEARCHING FOR A SYSTEM. The Science of Systems-Volume 1. 2000 [6003]
26pp Booklet. £7.50
Contains an article my Sports Forum favourite "Mackintosh", and includes a number of articles by writers who have all delved into systems in one way or another.
PEACH, TONY(EDITOR). BEATING THE BOOK. The Science of Systems-Volume 3. 2000 [6025]
30pp Booklet. £10.00
Tony Peach sets down in easy terms how to go about finding out whether the odds are Value For Money through "Beating The Book" a revised version of the 1989 edition of "The Punter's Book", which is now out of print.
ALL THREE VOLS OF THE SCIENCE OF SYSTEM FOR £20.00
MARVEX. BETTING FOR PROFIT. [5987]
42pp. Booklet. £8.00
The first book on betting written on 1948 by Marvex, an accountant with a penchant for getting to the nitty-gritty in an interesting and absorbing way. Similar in many respects to the Van der Wheil style of writing. In this book he gives his thoughts on all the important aspects of winner finding and even the widest-read punter will find at least one other slant on racing matters that still matter!
MARVEX. THE ASSESSMENT OF FORM. [5992]
46pp. Booklet. £8.00
This book is the sequel to Marvex's other two books. And while some may say that as they were written nearly 50 years ago their vernacular of the times is not applicable today, how wrong they would be. FORM will always be the basis for winning and Marvex was one of the greatest exponents of sizing up form.
MARVEX. THE JUDGMENT OF FORM. [5993]
46pp. Booklet. £8.00
This book is the sequel to Marvex's other two books. And while some may say that as they were written nearly 50 years ago their vernacular of the times is not applicable today, how wrong they would be. FORM will always be the basis for winning and Marvex was one of the greatest exponents of sizing up form.
MARVEX. SPECIAL OFFER ALL 3 MARVEX BOOKS FOR £20.00 POST FREE (UK)